Engaging in Athletic and Political Gymnastics. Predictions Added. By Gene W. Edwards. Posted 8/19/2024.

The political landscape right now is moving, and diverging, with alacrity! Kamala Harris — all recent polls averaged — is now at 46.4% to Trump’s 43.8%, which makes Trump 2.6% behind her. See 538.com. I assume 9.8% of those polled are uncommitted yet (46.4 + 43.8 + 9.8 = 100%).

Quoth the raven, “Furthermore,” . . . Democrats are preferred in Congress by 46.3% compared to Republicans preferred in the upcoming Congress by 45.2%, a small gaposis of 1.1%. I assume 8.5% are undecided. The trend lines for Harris and the Democrats are moving up, the Republicans’ trendlines diverging down from them.

How well will the Democrats’ message resonate after their nominating convention, and speeches, this week? In short, for now, the Democrats are on a roll.

May I point out that Elon Musk is contributing $45,000,000 a month to the Republicans and to Trump? Furthermore, he’s been doing it for months. Musk is anti-union. Money talks.

I continue to predict Harris wins this fall, and also that the Democrats will take both the House and the Senate. Harris will garner about 320 of the Electoral College votes out of the 538, only 270 needed to win. She’ll win five of the eight swing states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin. She’ll lose Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia. That’s 64 Electoral College votes for Kamala, 35 for Trump. Which of those eight…