My Last-Minute Election Predictions.
By Gene W. Edwards.
It’s 0600 Mountain Time, 11/8/2022: General Election Day. Posted at 0710.
I think “everyone knows” the Democrats will lose the House. I predict, of the 435 seats, the Republicans will win 223 of them. Leaving the Democrats and any (one?) independents with 212 — which is no cigar! That means six Republicans would have to vote with 212 Democrats in order for any Democrat piece of legislation to pass the House, where all money bills start.
As for the Senate, a Republican Senate would mean that even if a Democrat bill passed the House, the Senate would probably nix it. On the other hand, our lame duck president, Biden, could veto any Republican legislation he thought to be counterproductive, such as anti-abortion legislation.
Senate: my prediction. This election turns on which party wins a senate seat in PA, GA, and NV. Whichever party wins two out of three or three out of three will win the Senate. I say: the Democrats will win 52 Senate seats to the Republicans’ 48. It’s actually 53 seats for the Democrats because VP Kamala Harris can cast a vote for the Democrats on any occasion when they need one more vote to break a tie.
My predictions: Fetterman wins over Oz in PA. Warnock wins over baby killer Walker in GA. In NV, the American Indian Senator, Masto, beats Laxalt. Even if the Dems only won two of those races, they could hold the Senate. Of course, if the Republicans win two or three out of three of those three races, the Senate is theirs.
GA will require a runoff election if Warnock does not win 50% of the vote, plus one. We might be looking at a long wait before this election is over!
*****
The 200 or so Republicans running this election who are election deniers or doubters will say they won if they won, but also won if they lost — because of election fraud. If they lost, they’ll scream, to the high heavens, “I wuz robb’d!” What’s wrong with that sentence? Well, everything. Donald Trump may also be serving a sentence soon, once the election is over. The big guns are after him, from the DOJ, to the New York state attorney general, to GA, to Washington, D.C., many different charges in all of many different types. Can he walk between the raindrops?
*****
This election it’s mostly women vs. the economy. Which will win, or lose? I detest the governors that did not crack down on rioters. I detest a government that can’t close its borders and offer millions of wannabe Americans a quick path to citizenship, by applying at their American embassy in their country. We need tax dollars from them. I detest a government spending 1.5 trillion dollars a year more than it takes in — in peacetime, unless you count our war in Ukraine. I applaud all the workers now making $15 an hour vs. $7.50 — but it is the formula for inflation. All the crisis spending over COVID-19 mostly caused our present money crisis. Which is more lethal, the disease or easy money? I also detest a leader, and part of his party, that mounts an insurrection based on a Hitlerian Big Lie.
So all of the above indicate to me that both of our political parties are largely clueless and will have to reinvent themselves in order to hold a mandate, or even be relevant to the times we live in.
May the best sucker win. A sucker is born every minute.
Love (loving you in the election booth with a drawn curtain),
Gene W. Edwards
This blog is posted on my website http://www.genewedwards.com/blog
It is also posted on the giant writer’s website, Medium: genewedwards.medium.com
I’ll think about posting it on Facebook, which censors.