Some more intuitive “evaluations” from me about Ukraine War. By Gene W. Edwards. Posted 6/27/2023.
Despite the war, Putin’s official approval rate in Russia remains an amazing 80%! See: https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-rating-russia/
That’s twice Biden’s, and Trump’s, approval rate, as much as both of theirs together.
Was his historic 80% based on coercion, not assessed value? What was it, really?: 67%.
What’s his real approval rate now from the failing war and Prigozhin’s rebellion?: 67% (D+).
What is his real approval rate from the oligarchs under him, who keep Russia running?: 43%!
Is Putin in danger of being killed or deposed (suddenly)?: Yes! But he is very careful, and powerful.
Will he be taken out of power, as opposed to resign or die down the line?: Will not be taken out of power “at this moment.” Who else (could run Russia)?
Will Putin bring the Ukraine War to a close?: Yes, in 2024. Like an armistice.
goes home, like we and Russia did from Afghanistan. Skirmishes follow for years of Ukraine wanting its 2014 boundaries all back.
I sense that Putin will be Russia’s president until 2028. Our propaganda doesn’t seem to have one clue about Russia or Putin!
Putin originally thought he’d take Ukraine in three days, like we “took” (controlled) Iraq under George H. W. Bush, a blitzkrieg. Putin’s miscalculation, attacking muddy Ukraine in winter. To fathom all this, first understand Russian culture. It’s a harsh land ruled for millennia by powerful people. A Stalin fails in the long run, though in history, not necessarily in his time. Fear gives way to freedom. Regime change, but not until 2028.
Russia just quits the war and moves on, focuses on Russia. As I’ve predicted before, Russia and some other countries will be allies with aggressor China in World War III, from 2029–2032.
Post World War III, Russia will become free.
Love,
Gene.
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